IEAH’s deal to purchase 50% interest in I Want Revenge was finally completed on Monday—considering the speed with which their previous purchases were accomplished, I wondered what made this one different, as it seemed to drag on a relatively long period of time. The answer may have been revealed on Tuesday when it was announced that I Want Revenge’s owner/breeder David Lanzman acquired 25% interest in Stardom Bound from IEAH. Such maneuvering begs the question, is this just a shrewd move by an owner/breeder giddy with success this year and enjoying the moment, or is this merely a “paper” purchase with IEAH unable to muster up capital to pay cash outright for I Want Revenge? After purchasing in the past year Big Brown, Laragh, Patena and now I Want Revenge—plus paying $5.7 million for Stardom Bound at last November’s Fasig-Tipton Kentucky selected fall mixed sale—how is it possible for them to continue to acquire big-ticket horses with cash only in this economic downturn/recession? Just curious if they will be in need of a bailout soon (now wouldn't that make an excellent April Fool's story?).
What a tremendous race Saturday’s G1 Ashland is looking to be! Much of the G1 Santa Anita Oaks field is back, including Nan, Third Dawn, and Hooh Why—all three look to step up against Stardom Bound in a big way. Hooh Why has been a particular favorite of mine since her close runner-up finish to Patena in the Display Stakes at Woodbine. Maybe it’s just because her owners were willing to run a 2-year-old filly, three weeks back off her last race, against colts, and stretch her out to 8.5f, to boot. She’s run almost exclusively on artificial surfaces, but did finish third of ten in the ungraded Sandpiper on dirt at Tampa in December, so she could be a surprisingly-dangerous Kentucky Oaks contender if her numbers continue to improve. And talk about a seasoned shipper—Arlington, Presque Isle, Woodbine, Tampa, Santa Anita and now Keeneland! Also scheduled to run in the Ashland is Joe Parker-trained What a Pear, who has been demolishing New York company, but this will be her first real test against quality competition.
Speaking of quality, I was duly impressed with Quality Road’s performance in the G1 Florida Derby, and he’s moved onto my Top Ten list:
1. Friesan Fire
2. Rachel Alexandra
3. Quality Road
4. Old Fashioned
5. Stardom Bound
6. Papa Clem
7. I Want Revenge
8. Imperial Council
9. Mr. Hot Stuff
10. Dunkirk
Certainly this coming weekend’s preps will solidify my position on specific horses—or totally toss them off my list. Namely, Colonel John’s little brother Mr. Hot Stuff takes on the A-Team (The Pamplemousse, Pioneerof the Nile, Chocolate Candy) in the G1 Santa Anita Derby, while I Want Revenge and Imperial Council clash in the G1 Wood Memorial—traditionally one of my favorite Derby preps, although it hasn’t appeared to make much of dent in recent years. The last Derby winner to have run in the Wood was Funny Cide who narrowly lost to Empire Maker in 2003, and what a prep that was for the Derby:
The last Wood winner to win the Run for the Roses was Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000—god, how I love hearing his name!
Since we’re taking a stroll down memory lane, here’s Foolish Pleasure’s 1975 Wood victory—and not just because I love my childhood hero, but the second-place finisher was the wonderfully-named Bombay Duck:
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Friday, March 27, 2009
Dubai World Cup Day Picks
[UPDATED with live post-race commentary]
If you plan to get up early on Saturday morning and wager on the Dubai World Cup races, you must first read Pat Cummings’ incredibly astute races analyses at DubaiRaceNight.com. Far and away the most knowledgeable man on the scene, his insight on all contenders is supplemented with keen on-site observations.
I plan on wagering online through Twinspires.com, and what I love is that when I make a “place” bet, my choice pays off whether it’s first, second or third. No “show” wagering, in other words, as that is covered under the “place” bet—hey, it’s like a two-for-one! And with Americans over-betting their horses, so often you can get a very nice place payout on excellent prospects.
My picks:
The G2 Godolphin Mile (9:40 a.m. EDT)
It’s always a smart move to follow the horse Frankie Dettori rides whether for Godolphin or not, and here that would be Two Step Salsa. Still, I’ve always loved Gayego, and he drops 8 lbs off his G3 victory first up in Dubai, so I’ll take him on top. At guaranteed long odds, I’ll take a $2 place chances on Al Morhij (in form, with recent fast 8f wins) and Green Coast, who’s done well with Fernando Jara up this campaign.
Result: With a fast track, Two Step Salsa had plenty to handle this field, while his stablemate Gayego was clearly above the rest; longshot Don Renato ($28.80 place) repeated his third-place performance of last year by winning a photo. Does this bode well for My Indy in the World Cup?
The G2 UAE Derby (10:15 a.m. EDT)
The two key Dubai preps for this race resulted in the same outcome: wins for Desert Party, followed by Regal Ransom and Redding Colliery. Being reunited with Alan Garcia may motivate Regal Ransom, but Redding Colliery is unlikely to improve here. It is Desert Party’s race to lose—no win, no Kentucky Derby. However, it looks unlikely he’ll lose to any of these, especially if the track is muddy—remember that impressive G2 Sanford victory at Saratoga last July? That said, there are three here that intrigue me. Mick Kinane rides Naval Officer, a G3 winner in France over this 9f distance—on turf, yes, but with a strong dirt pedigree. Desert Party’s former jock Edgar Prado rides recent Saudi G1 winner Lelah Dorak whose pedigree is stamina-rich, and he’s won four of five lifetime starts against big fields. Argentine filly So Shiny won the UAE 1000 Guineas well in-hand, but lost focus in the UAE Oaks; Kinane abandoned her, but Fernando Jara jumps aboard which could be a brilliant move. At guaranteed long odds, she’s a definite place bet.
Result: Regal Ransom beats Desert Party! Yeah, Alan Garcia! I love this jockey! What does this mean now for Desert Party? Probably no Derby, but a new contender in Regal Ransom? The filly So Shiny challenged the winner on the lead throughout before fading to fourth; Soy Libriano got third so I did get some money as I threw last-minute money on him. Next: Golden Shadeen, with Indian Blessing on the straight track...I'm so anxious for her to do well. Come on girl!
The G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen (10:55 a.m. EDT)
Wet track or dry track, I strongly believe Indian Blessing crushes this field. A possible threat: an off-track favors Hong Kong sprinter Lucky Quality who is 4 for 4 under such conditions, and he’ll be at long odds, unlike Diabolical who is guaranteed to be overbet (and out of the money). More promising is Big City Man who loses 7 lbs from his narrow loss to Gayego last out; he’s also won twice on off-tracks, including a sloppy win at Calder in the Criterium back in 2007.
Result: Big City Man beats Indian Blessing who, as Gary Stevens noted, appeared to get lonely when she went to the lead, not being able to see him on the far side. Still, what a magnificent race for Indian Blessing! As a 4-year-old, she can only get better now that she’s run against the boys. Diabolical got third. Lucky Quality disappointed (and blew my trifecta!).
The G1 Dubai Duty Free (11:55 a.m. EDT)
The rain-softened turf reaffirms more than ever my pick here—New Zealand-bred, Aussie-raced and trained Tuesday Joy. Forced to spell after bleeding in last October’s G1 Turnbull, this physically-powerful 6-year-old mare has posted two impressive wins since her return, and her connections are eyeing this year’s Arc. Guaranteed big price—and big payout. Very interesting that Frankie Dettori selected Lady Marian who won the G1 Prix de L’Opera last out over the talented Lush Lashes; she cuts back in distance and has performed well on soft going. Archipenko just missed last year, and should be in the top three again here—if the mares don’t sweep the trifecta with top-class Vodka. For sentimental reasons, I’ll toss a $2 place bet on the oldest horse in the field, 8-year-old Niconero. A damline descendent of Foolish Pleasure (ah, you knew I had to mention it), his most recent victory in the G1 Australian Cup over the very tough Theseo was spectacular. Also wouldn’t be surprised with Balius considering his recent form. However, don’t waste your money on Kip Deville—our best mile turf horse isn’t even third-string at this level.
Result: Wow! Shocker, with 14-1 Gladiatorus wins wire-to-wire with longshots 20-1 Previs and 40-1 Alexandros fleshing out a massive trifecta payout—$5,137.40. Interestingly, all three had won during the current Dubai carnival—talk about home-turf advantage! And the winner—a mere $8,000 2006 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall Yearlings yearling purchase (Hip #381). The Aussies did well, as Niconero got fourth, followed by Tuesday Joy in ninth. Man, a $1 superfecta paid $373,416.41! That would have been life-changing...sigh.
The G1 Dubai Sheema Classic (12:40 p.m. EDT)
In an eerily similar scenario, Doctor Dino again comes in off a victory in the G1 Hong Kong Vase—but last year he finished third in the Sheema Classic, upset by Michael De Kock’s now-retired Sun Classique. Can De Kock do it again with his filly Front House and her regular jockey Kevin Shea aboard? I’m thinking that’s very likely, especially with the soft going. Lightly-raced Deem intrigues me too. A first-crop daughter of Dalakhani out of a Sadler’s Wells mare Hijaz (the same cross as last year’s Eclipse champion turf male Conduit), this promising gray filly is bred to run all day; Mick Kinane jumps aboard.
Result: Eastern Anthem with hometown jockey Ahmed Ajtebi—an apprentice, to boot—up came from last to nose out the Moons—Spanish Moon and Purple Moon—for a very popular victory. Front House led much of the way, but was no match in the stretch for the place-getters. Youmzain finished next back in fourth. Given the day they are enjoying, I heavily leaning towards including Happy Boy in my World Cup wagers, and My Indy as well. I'm wavering on Casino Drive...
The G1 Dubai World Cup (1:30 p.m. EDT)
Easily one of the weakest World Cup fields in recent years. Likely post-time favorite Asiatic Boy just doesn’t thrill me, and the American contingent is, sadly, the best we can offer in what used to be “our” surface. I’m strongly taking a stand against Albertus Maximus and the rest of his compatriots Arson Squad, Well Armed and Anak Nakal. I firmly believe 4-year-old Casino Drive’s day has arrived. It won't make up for missing almost-assured victory in last year's G1 Belmont, but it will be a worthy achievement for the son of Better Than Honour. Given his current form, you can’t ignore My Indy—and he’s won easily on off-tracks before. Pay attention to the performances of Green Coast and Don Renato in the Godolphin Mile, as he easily beat them first up in the G3 Maktoum Challenge (Round 1) in January; if they run well, his form should be confirmed. Pat takes a flyer here on longshot Joe Louis—why not go for it? Ditto for G1 Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Cup winner Muller who has won 10 of 13 on off-tracks; his form could be supported by good performance by Deem in Sheema Classic.
Result: 9-1 Well Armed kicked that field’s ass—being on the lead appeared to be the place to be today. Congratulations to Aaron Gryder! 60-1 longshot Gloria de Campeao was well back for second, and the longest shot in the field (at least 99-1) Paris Perfect was third. The $1 trifecta paid over $23k, and the $1 super? With 80-1 Muller fourth, it paid just over $415k. Very disappointed with My Indy and Asiatic Boy. As for Casino Drive, that’s it, I freakin’ give up on him. Never again will I tout him, so call me on it if I do.
Good luck!
If you plan to get up early on Saturday morning and wager on the Dubai World Cup races, you must first read Pat Cummings’ incredibly astute races analyses at DubaiRaceNight.com. Far and away the most knowledgeable man on the scene, his insight on all contenders is supplemented with keen on-site observations.
I plan on wagering online through Twinspires.com, and what I love is that when I make a “place” bet, my choice pays off whether it’s first, second or third. No “show” wagering, in other words, as that is covered under the “place” bet—hey, it’s like a two-for-one! And with Americans over-betting their horses, so often you can get a very nice place payout on excellent prospects.
My picks:
The G2 Godolphin Mile (9:40 a.m. EDT)
It’s always a smart move to follow the horse Frankie Dettori rides whether for Godolphin or not, and here that would be Two Step Salsa. Still, I’ve always loved Gayego, and he drops 8 lbs off his G3 victory first up in Dubai, so I’ll take him on top. At guaranteed long odds, I’ll take a $2 place chances on Al Morhij (in form, with recent fast 8f wins) and Green Coast, who’s done well with Fernando Jara up this campaign.
Result: With a fast track, Two Step Salsa had plenty to handle this field, while his stablemate Gayego was clearly above the rest; longshot Don Renato ($28.80 place) repeated his third-place performance of last year by winning a photo. Does this bode well for My Indy in the World Cup?
The G2 UAE Derby (10:15 a.m. EDT)
The two key Dubai preps for this race resulted in the same outcome: wins for Desert Party, followed by Regal Ransom and Redding Colliery. Being reunited with Alan Garcia may motivate Regal Ransom, but Redding Colliery is unlikely to improve here. It is Desert Party’s race to lose—no win, no Kentucky Derby. However, it looks unlikely he’ll lose to any of these, especially if the track is muddy—remember that impressive G2 Sanford victory at Saratoga last July? That said, there are three here that intrigue me. Mick Kinane rides Naval Officer, a G3 winner in France over this 9f distance—on turf, yes, but with a strong dirt pedigree. Desert Party’s former jock Edgar Prado rides recent Saudi G1 winner Lelah Dorak whose pedigree is stamina-rich, and he’s won four of five lifetime starts against big fields. Argentine filly So Shiny won the UAE 1000 Guineas well in-hand, but lost focus in the UAE Oaks; Kinane abandoned her, but Fernando Jara jumps aboard which could be a brilliant move. At guaranteed long odds, she’s a definite place bet.
Result: Regal Ransom beats Desert Party! Yeah, Alan Garcia! I love this jockey! What does this mean now for Desert Party? Probably no Derby, but a new contender in Regal Ransom? The filly So Shiny challenged the winner on the lead throughout before fading to fourth; Soy Libriano got third so I did get some money as I threw last-minute money on him. Next: Golden Shadeen, with Indian Blessing on the straight track...I'm so anxious for her to do well. Come on girl!
The G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen (10:55 a.m. EDT)
Wet track or dry track, I strongly believe Indian Blessing crushes this field. A possible threat: an off-track favors Hong Kong sprinter Lucky Quality who is 4 for 4 under such conditions, and he’ll be at long odds, unlike Diabolical who is guaranteed to be overbet (and out of the money). More promising is Big City Man who loses 7 lbs from his narrow loss to Gayego last out; he’s also won twice on off-tracks, including a sloppy win at Calder in the Criterium back in 2007.
Result: Big City Man beats Indian Blessing who, as Gary Stevens noted, appeared to get lonely when she went to the lead, not being able to see him on the far side. Still, what a magnificent race for Indian Blessing! As a 4-year-old, she can only get better now that she’s run against the boys. Diabolical got third. Lucky Quality disappointed (and blew my trifecta!).
The G1 Dubai Duty Free (11:55 a.m. EDT)
The rain-softened turf reaffirms more than ever my pick here—New Zealand-bred, Aussie-raced and trained Tuesday Joy. Forced to spell after bleeding in last October’s G1 Turnbull, this physically-powerful 6-year-old mare has posted two impressive wins since her return, and her connections are eyeing this year’s Arc. Guaranteed big price—and big payout. Very interesting that Frankie Dettori selected Lady Marian who won the G1 Prix de L’Opera last out over the talented Lush Lashes; she cuts back in distance and has performed well on soft going. Archipenko just missed last year, and should be in the top three again here—if the mares don’t sweep the trifecta with top-class Vodka. For sentimental reasons, I’ll toss a $2 place bet on the oldest horse in the field, 8-year-old Niconero. A damline descendent of Foolish Pleasure (ah, you knew I had to mention it), his most recent victory in the G1 Australian Cup over the very tough Theseo was spectacular. Also wouldn’t be surprised with Balius considering his recent form. However, don’t waste your money on Kip Deville—our best mile turf horse isn’t even third-string at this level.
Result: Wow! Shocker, with 14-1 Gladiatorus wins wire-to-wire with longshots 20-1 Previs and 40-1 Alexandros fleshing out a massive trifecta payout—$5,137.40. Interestingly, all three had won during the current Dubai carnival—talk about home-turf advantage! And the winner—a mere $8,000 2006 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall Yearlings yearling purchase (Hip #381). The Aussies did well, as Niconero got fourth, followed by Tuesday Joy in ninth. Man, a $1 superfecta paid $373,416.41! That would have been life-changing...sigh.
The G1 Dubai Sheema Classic (12:40 p.m. EDT)
In an eerily similar scenario, Doctor Dino again comes in off a victory in the G1 Hong Kong Vase—but last year he finished third in the Sheema Classic, upset by Michael De Kock’s now-retired Sun Classique. Can De Kock do it again with his filly Front House and her regular jockey Kevin Shea aboard? I’m thinking that’s very likely, especially with the soft going. Lightly-raced Deem intrigues me too. A first-crop daughter of Dalakhani out of a Sadler’s Wells mare Hijaz (the same cross as last year’s Eclipse champion turf male Conduit), this promising gray filly is bred to run all day; Mick Kinane jumps aboard.
Result: Eastern Anthem with hometown jockey Ahmed Ajtebi—an apprentice, to boot—up came from last to nose out the Moons—Spanish Moon and Purple Moon—for a very popular victory. Front House led much of the way, but was no match in the stretch for the place-getters. Youmzain finished next back in fourth. Given the day they are enjoying, I heavily leaning towards including Happy Boy in my World Cup wagers, and My Indy as well. I'm wavering on Casino Drive...
The G1 Dubai World Cup (1:30 p.m. EDT)
Easily one of the weakest World Cup fields in recent years. Likely post-time favorite Asiatic Boy just doesn’t thrill me, and the American contingent is, sadly, the best we can offer in what used to be “our” surface. I’m strongly taking a stand against Albertus Maximus and the rest of his compatriots Arson Squad, Well Armed and Anak Nakal. I firmly believe 4-year-old Casino Drive’s day has arrived. It won't make up for missing almost-assured victory in last year's G1 Belmont, but it will be a worthy achievement for the son of Better Than Honour. Given his current form, you can’t ignore My Indy—and he’s won easily on off-tracks before. Pay attention to the performances of Green Coast and Don Renato in the Godolphin Mile, as he easily beat them first up in the G3 Maktoum Challenge (Round 1) in January; if they run well, his form should be confirmed. Pat takes a flyer here on longshot Joe Louis—why not go for it? Ditto for G1 Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Cup winner Muller who has won 10 of 13 on off-tracks; his form could be supported by good performance by Deem in Sheema Classic.
Result: 9-1 Well Armed kicked that field’s ass—being on the lead appeared to be the place to be today. Congratulations to Aaron Gryder! 60-1 longshot Gloria de Campeao was well back for second, and the longest shot in the field (at least 99-1) Paris Perfect was third. The $1 trifecta paid over $23k, and the $1 super? With 80-1 Muller fourth, it paid just over $415k. Very disappointed with My Indy and Asiatic Boy. As for Casino Drive, that’s it, I freakin’ give up on him. Never again will I tout him, so call me on it if I do.
Good luck!
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Fearless
Growing up in the 1970s, with a neighborhood full of boys for playmates, I heartily admit to being a rough-and-tumble tomboy. There was no ditch wide enough, no makeshift ramp steep enough that I didn’t attempt to jump on my bike, and, in a time when it never occurred to us to wear a helmet, I often limped home with skinned-up knees, road-burned forearms or a blistered nose, covered in dirt and gravel. It may have hurt like hell sleeping that night, muscle-sore with abrasions only beginning to scab over, but more often than not I was right back out there the next day, engaged in more rough play—a pick-up game of baseball where we’d often try to back each other off the plate with a close pitch to the head, or wandering over to the neighboring farm to ride the semi-wild horse bareback around the fields. No physical challenge is too intimidating when you are young—only with age comes fear.
In that context, I was surprised to read on a forum board this week a comment that basically said, “I love Rachel Alexandra and Stardom Bound—both are very talented fillies and probably could compete with the boys. But, I don’t want either one to run in the Kentucky Derby, because we don’t need another Eight Belles experience this year.”
On so many levels, this attitude is disturbing, mostly because it is based solely on emotion and not logic.
To the best of my knowledge (and I would love to be corrected if wrong), there is no statistical data officially maintained on breakdown rates in American thoroughbred racing, let alone any solid evidence (not anecdotal bullshit) that suggests female horses breakdown at a disproportionate rate to male horses. That fact that Eight Belles suffered a catastrophic injury is no more related to her sex than the fact that she was a gray. It could have just as easily been Big Brown, Anak Nakal or Big Truck. If it had been, would the same intense outcry have carried over to this year for male horses not to run? I don’t think so.
Eight Belles’ necropsy report indicated no pre-existing condition, nor did later testing reveal any drug use. It was a tragic accident. Yet, why is it that I hold my breath when Old Fashioned runs? It’s not the uncanny fact that he possesses the same connections—owner and trainer—and is also gray; it’s because he’s another progeny of Unbridled’s Song, bred for early speed yet with a reputation for fragility. That bothers me more than what sex a horse is.
Americans wear blinders when it comes to thoroughbred racing (and just about everything else in society...but that's a whole other issue). For some unfathomable reason, we just can wrap our brains around the concept of mixed gender racing as commonly practiced abroad, such as in Australia where it occurs not only in the highest grade races, but every single day at lower level events. I can argue until I'm blue in the face about the proven competitiveness of fillies and mares against colts, geldings and horses, but for some it won't change their mind one smidgen.
Even when So Shiny upsets Desert Party in the UAE Derby, Indian Blessing kicks ass in the Golden Shaheen, Front House shocks in the Dubai Sheema Classic, and Tuesday Joy and Vodka (or maybe Lady Marian) flesh out the exacta in the Dubai Duty Free (yes, Kip Deville will be viewing the behinds of two females this time, not just the one Goldikova)...even then American minds will not be changed regarding mixed gender racing. That's a shame, as introducing that concept more into our racing would not only make for far more interesting and competitive races, but also provide an angle that ultimately appeals to both old and new fans.
As for the question as to whether or not Rachel Alexandra or Stardom Bound should run in the Derby, ultimately that needs to be determined by their own individual abilities. It should not be based on irrational emotion, driven by fear not logic.
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.—Frank Herbert, Dune.
In that context, I was surprised to read on a forum board this week a comment that basically said, “I love Rachel Alexandra and Stardom Bound—both are very talented fillies and probably could compete with the boys. But, I don’t want either one to run in the Kentucky Derby, because we don’t need another Eight Belles experience this year.”
On so many levels, this attitude is disturbing, mostly because it is based solely on emotion and not logic.
To the best of my knowledge (and I would love to be corrected if wrong), there is no statistical data officially maintained on breakdown rates in American thoroughbred racing, let alone any solid evidence (not anecdotal bullshit) that suggests female horses breakdown at a disproportionate rate to male horses. That fact that Eight Belles suffered a catastrophic injury is no more related to her sex than the fact that she was a gray. It could have just as easily been Big Brown, Anak Nakal or Big Truck. If it had been, would the same intense outcry have carried over to this year for male horses not to run? I don’t think so.
Eight Belles’ necropsy report indicated no pre-existing condition, nor did later testing reveal any drug use. It was a tragic accident. Yet, why is it that I hold my breath when Old Fashioned runs? It’s not the uncanny fact that he possesses the same connections—owner and trainer—and is also gray; it’s because he’s another progeny of Unbridled’s Song, bred for early speed yet with a reputation for fragility. That bothers me more than what sex a horse is.
Americans wear blinders when it comes to thoroughbred racing (and just about everything else in society...but that's a whole other issue). For some unfathomable reason, we just can wrap our brains around the concept of mixed gender racing as commonly practiced abroad, such as in Australia where it occurs not only in the highest grade races, but every single day at lower level events. I can argue until I'm blue in the face about the proven competitiveness of fillies and mares against colts, geldings and horses, but for some it won't change their mind one smidgen.
Even when So Shiny upsets Desert Party in the UAE Derby, Indian Blessing kicks ass in the Golden Shaheen, Front House shocks in the Dubai Sheema Classic, and Tuesday Joy and Vodka (or maybe Lady Marian) flesh out the exacta in the Dubai Duty Free (yes, Kip Deville will be viewing the behinds of two females this time, not just the one Goldikova)...even then American minds will not be changed regarding mixed gender racing. That's a shame, as introducing that concept more into our racing would not only make for far more interesting and competitive races, but also provide an angle that ultimately appeals to both old and new fans.
As for the question as to whether or not Rachel Alexandra or Stardom Bound should run in the Derby, ultimately that needs to be determined by their own individual abilities. It should not be based on irrational emotion, driven by fear not logic.
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.—Frank Herbert, Dune.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Weekend Horse Racing Blahs
I just couldn’t muster up any enthusiasm for this past weekend’s racing, thus the lack of posting.
Fellow TBA blogger EquiSpace summarized perfectly my feelings about the G2 Lane’s End—rather than having broadcast four prep races the previous weekend, we get one boring race and, what, 45 minutes of talk. Blah! I was pleased about one thing—Proceed Bee’s third-place finish. Otherwise, there was not one damn thing interesting about horse racing this weekend.
Usually I can count on Gulfstream to provide some entertaining racing, but with a sloppy track and all turf races off, Saturday’s card featured scratches aplenty, especially in race 6 which had promised to be an interesting AOC 8.5f turf event, and instead ended up a two-horse race—literally—after seven scratches. Not to be outdone, race 8 had twelve scratches, as only four went postward. Then the G3 Pan American Stakes was also off the grass...
At Aqueduct, only five entries for the G2 Distaff Handicap, and Zada Belle broke down not long into the race. Only five entries as well in the G2 San Luis Rey at Santa Anita—and last place-finisher Spring House was vanned off after that race. With news that desperate (and pathetic) IEAH is trying to buy their way into the Kentucky Derby through a majority interest purchase in I Want Revenge, well, that just fed my negativity. So, like so many others, I didn’t wager a lick, turned off the simulcasts, and tuned in to The History Channel’s “Band of Brothers” marathon. I hope to get re-charged and ready for this coming weekend's offerings, including the G1 Florida Derby, but more particularly the Dubai World Cup races.
Fellow TBA blogger EquiSpace summarized perfectly my feelings about the G2 Lane’s End—rather than having broadcast four prep races the previous weekend, we get one boring race and, what, 45 minutes of talk. Blah! I was pleased about one thing—Proceed Bee’s third-place finish. Otherwise, there was not one damn thing interesting about horse racing this weekend.
Usually I can count on Gulfstream to provide some entertaining racing, but with a sloppy track and all turf races off, Saturday’s card featured scratches aplenty, especially in race 6 which had promised to be an interesting AOC 8.5f turf event, and instead ended up a two-horse race—literally—after seven scratches. Not to be outdone, race 8 had twelve scratches, as only four went postward. Then the G3 Pan American Stakes was also off the grass...
At Aqueduct, only five entries for the G2 Distaff Handicap, and Zada Belle broke down not long into the race. Only five entries as well in the G2 San Luis Rey at Santa Anita—and last place-finisher Spring House was vanned off after that race. With news that desperate (and pathetic) IEAH is trying to buy their way into the Kentucky Derby through a majority interest purchase in I Want Revenge, well, that just fed my negativity. So, like so many others, I didn’t wager a lick, turned off the simulcasts, and tuned in to The History Channel’s “Band of Brothers” marathon. I hope to get re-charged and ready for this coming weekend's offerings, including the G1 Florida Derby, but more particularly the Dubai World Cup races.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Luck of the Irish
Not many tracks to choose from, but here’s some hunch bets for Tuesday, March 17— Go gcuire Dia an t-ádh ort!
Beulah, Race 6—Rainbow of Dreams
Mountaineer, Race 1—Spot Gold
Mountaineer, Race 4—Sweet Molly Malone
Mountaineer, Race 7—Patrick
Philadelphia, Race 7—Bring Me Fortune
Sunland, Race 5—Hunkagold
Sunland, Race 11—Shimmer to Gold
Tampa Bay, Race 7—Mass
Will Rogers, Race 5—Chasin Rainbows
Will Rogers, Race 6—Irish Fun
And for those architecture geeks like me:
Philadelphia, Race 10—Ionic
Portland Meadows, Race 2—Crenellation
Portland Meadows, Race 9—Tongue and Groove
EDITED TO ADD: And how appropriate is it that today it was announced that Pittsburgh Steelers owner Dan Rooney will be nominated to be ambassador to Ireland?
Beulah, Race 6—Rainbow of Dreams
Mountaineer, Race 1—Spot Gold
Mountaineer, Race 4—Sweet Molly Malone
Mountaineer, Race 7—Patrick
Philadelphia, Race 7—Bring Me Fortune
Sunland, Race 5—Hunkagold
Sunland, Race 11—Shimmer to Gold
Tampa Bay, Race 7—Mass
Will Rogers, Race 5—Chasin Rainbows
Will Rogers, Race 6—Irish Fun
And for those architecture geeks like me:
Philadelphia, Race 10—Ionic
Portland Meadows, Race 2—Crenellation
Portland Meadows, Race 9—Tongue and Groove
EDITED TO ADD: And how appropriate is it that today it was announced that Pittsburgh Steelers owner Dan Rooney will be nominated to be ambassador to Ireland?
Monday, March 16, 2009
Final KY Oaks Future Wager Pool
The Kentucky Oaks future wager pool closed on Sunday evening with a surprising favorite. Instead of the much-heralded (and rightly so) Rachel Alexandra (3-1) and Stardom Bound (9-2), it was G2 Davona Dale victress Justwhistledixie (5-2) who came out on top—interesting considering she’s never run farther than 8f (and that distance only once) and her competition has been primarily sprinters who she outlasted. The only possible reason I can attribute to her topping Rachel Alexandra and Stardom Bound is the West Point Thoroughbred partners dumping money on her, which is great for the rest of us who got a price on real contenders. I took my own advice and placed $2 win bets on Sky Diva (36-1) and What a Pear (22-1); even though Godolphin’s Devotee (73-1) featured long odds, I just can’t get past the idea of prepping in Dubai, not here. It didn’t work for Folk in 2007.
The Oaks pool closed minutes before the G3 Honeybee was completed so, even though the time was rather pedestrian, folks got a bargain on winner Just Jenda (54-1). Her performance didn’t surprise me—Larry Jones is phenomenal with talented 3-year-olds, especially at Oaklawn and Fair Grounds—but I was very pleased my wildcard pick Afleet Deceit closed from last place to get up for second. My interest in her is obvious—her second dam is Too Cool To Fool (Foolish Pleasure).
Afleet Deceit is owned by Bill Stiritz, former chairman of Ralston Purina Company and current owner of Fairmount Park near St. Louis, who also owns recent John Battaglia Memorial winner Proceed Bee. Both were purchased at the 2007 Keeneland Yearlings sale. A son of Bernstein out of the Private Terms mare Procession, a half-sister to G1-winning steeplechaser Sovereign Duty and three-quarter sister to G3 Widener victor Party Manners, Proceed Bee was a $40k purchase (Hip #1561). A daughter of Northern Afleet out of the Danzig mare Deceit, it didn’t take much imagination to name Afleet Deceit, who cost only $17k (Hip #4137). Both are trained by Terry Gestes who also trains Stiritz’s G3-winnning filly Palanka City.
While this weekend’s listed Rushaway Stakes at Turfway had been mentioned as the next target for Proceed Bee, his name was not among its nominees; instead, his connections have opted for the bigger prize, the G2 Lane’s End. Others of interest likely for the Lane’s End include West Side Bernie, Bittel Road, Loch Dubh and A.P. Cardinal. Final post positions will be drawn on Wednesday, and the race will be broadcast from 5-6 p.m. on ESPN2.
The Oaks pool closed minutes before the G3 Honeybee was completed so, even though the time was rather pedestrian, folks got a bargain on winner Just Jenda (54-1). Her performance didn’t surprise me—Larry Jones is phenomenal with talented 3-year-olds, especially at Oaklawn and Fair Grounds—but I was very pleased my wildcard pick Afleet Deceit closed from last place to get up for second. My interest in her is obvious—her second dam is Too Cool To Fool (Foolish Pleasure).
Afleet Deceit is owned by Bill Stiritz, former chairman of Ralston Purina Company and current owner of Fairmount Park near St. Louis, who also owns recent John Battaglia Memorial winner Proceed Bee. Both were purchased at the 2007 Keeneland Yearlings sale. A son of Bernstein out of the Private Terms mare Procession, a half-sister to G1-winning steeplechaser Sovereign Duty and three-quarter sister to G3 Widener victor Party Manners, Proceed Bee was a $40k purchase (Hip #1561). A daughter of Northern Afleet out of the Danzig mare Deceit, it didn’t take much imagination to name Afleet Deceit, who cost only $17k (Hip #4137). Both are trained by Terry Gestes who also trains Stiritz’s G3-winnning filly Palanka City.
While this weekend’s listed Rushaway Stakes at Turfway had been mentioned as the next target for Proceed Bee, his name was not among its nominees; instead, his connections have opted for the bigger prize, the G2 Lane’s End. Others of interest likely for the Lane’s End include West Side Bernie, Bittel Road, Loch Dubh and A.P. Cardinal. Final post positions will be drawn on Wednesday, and the race will be broadcast from 5-6 p.m. on ESPN2.
Sunday, March 15, 2009
IEAH: Rethinking Stardom Bound's Future?
Do you suppose IEAH is rethinking Stardom Bound’s future, given the dreadful non-effort put in by their “top” Derby hope Patena in the G2 Louisiana Derby? Of course, IEAH could offer a ridiculous amount of money for G2 Rebel winner Win Willy who, with his upset victory, moves into fourth-place for lifetime earnings (just behind Moyers Pond) among the progeny of underachieving sire Monarchos who stands for $6k this year at Nuckols Farm in Midway, KY. A $25k Keeneland 2007 Yearling (Hip #5241) purchase, surely he’s worth a cool $1.5 million or so to someone desperate for a Derby horse? Hardly. Talk about a horse we will never hear of again, that is until the Ohio or Pennsylvania derbies.
Like just about everyone else, I’m not sure what to make of Old Fashioned. Was it the off-track, the additional 5-7 lbs he gave away to the rest of the field, or the fast early fractions battling Silver City? Is he really just a miler (even though he’s already won with ease over 9f)? Lots to ponder, especially given the unheralded longshot that passed him with ease late. For now, he drops down on my Derby contenders list, but not off entirely.
While I was disappointed with Old Fashioned, I felt vindicated with my top pick Friesan Fire’s performance in the G2 Louisiana Derby. Wow! By far, the most impressive performance of the day, as he easily put away Papa Clem, who was #6 on my list last week—that first effort on dirt (an off-track, at that) definitely earned him the right to stay among my top ten. And just to brag a bit about Friesan Fire—only myself, Patrick at Handride and Brendan O’Meara at The Saratogian made him our #1 pick last week on the Paulick Derby Index—how many more will join us this week?
In California, Pioneerof the Nile looked hard-pressed to defeat an extremely mediocre field in the G2 San Felipe, but you wouldn’t know that from the press—Jack Shinar over at Bloodhorse notes he “got the test he needed.” This is the same writer who claimed Stardom Bound was “barely best” in last weekend’s G1 Santa Anita Oaks against a much-larger field, yet Pioneerof the Nile’s time (1:43.35) was virtually identical to the filly’s (1:43.62)? Sorry, but I’m still not buying into Pioneerof the Nile as a dirt horse.
In the G3 Tampa Bay Derby, Hello Broadway, Bear’s Rocket and General Quarters were huge disappointments, as Musket Man prevailed over Todd Pletcher-longshot (boy, not often you hear that combination of words!) Join in the Dance, with another longshot Justdontcallmejeri up for third over Nowhere to Hide. So, will Musket Man join the list of serious Derby contenders? Doubtful, even though his time (1:43.67) was mere fractions off the track record (1:43.11) set by no less than Street Sense. A $15k Keeneland 2007 Yearling (Hip #2613), Musket Man doesn’t appear to have the breeding to get 10f, and his tremendous performance this day was most likely due to attracting the services of top Tampa Bay jock Daniel Centeno.
Finally, I’m damn disappointed Rachel Alexandra’s connections appear disinclined to nominate their dominant filly for the Triple Crown, especially after her awesome victory in the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks where, with Calvin Borel totally throttling her down, she still posted a time (1:43.55) only marginally slower than Friesan Fire’s in the Louisiana Derby (1:43.46).
Like just about everyone else, I’m not sure what to make of Old Fashioned. Was it the off-track, the additional 5-7 lbs he gave away to the rest of the field, or the fast early fractions battling Silver City? Is he really just a miler (even though he’s already won with ease over 9f)? Lots to ponder, especially given the unheralded longshot that passed him with ease late. For now, he drops down on my Derby contenders list, but not off entirely.
While I was disappointed with Old Fashioned, I felt vindicated with my top pick Friesan Fire’s performance in the G2 Louisiana Derby. Wow! By far, the most impressive performance of the day, as he easily put away Papa Clem, who was #6 on my list last week—that first effort on dirt (an off-track, at that) definitely earned him the right to stay among my top ten. And just to brag a bit about Friesan Fire—only myself, Patrick at Handride and Brendan O’Meara at The Saratogian made him our #1 pick last week on the Paulick Derby Index—how many more will join us this week?
In California, Pioneerof the Nile looked hard-pressed to defeat an extremely mediocre field in the G2 San Felipe, but you wouldn’t know that from the press—Jack Shinar over at Bloodhorse notes he “got the test he needed.” This is the same writer who claimed Stardom Bound was “barely best” in last weekend’s G1 Santa Anita Oaks against a much-larger field, yet Pioneerof the Nile’s time (1:43.35) was virtually identical to the filly’s (1:43.62)? Sorry, but I’m still not buying into Pioneerof the Nile as a dirt horse.
In the G3 Tampa Bay Derby, Hello Broadway, Bear’s Rocket and General Quarters were huge disappointments, as Musket Man prevailed over Todd Pletcher-longshot (boy, not often you hear that combination of words!) Join in the Dance, with another longshot Justdontcallmejeri up for third over Nowhere to Hide. So, will Musket Man join the list of serious Derby contenders? Doubtful, even though his time (1:43.67) was mere fractions off the track record (1:43.11) set by no less than Street Sense. A $15k Keeneland 2007 Yearling (Hip #2613), Musket Man doesn’t appear to have the breeding to get 10f, and his tremendous performance this day was most likely due to attracting the services of top Tampa Bay jock Daniel Centeno.
Finally, I’m damn disappointed Rachel Alexandra’s connections appear disinclined to nominate their dominant filly for the Triple Crown, especially after her awesome victory in the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks where, with Calvin Borel totally throttling her down, she still posted a time (1:43.55) only marginally slower than Friesan Fire’s in the Louisiana Derby (1:43.46).
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Tough (or Bitchy) Questions
Is MEC just rotten to its core? News today that one of its former employees at The Meadows south of Pittsburgh has been charged with stealing nearly $250,000 while director of purchasing, namely by generating invoices from, and issuing 147 checks to, two bogus companies (“Innovative Cleaning Concepts” and “Total Mechanical Restoration”) he created. Only when he applied for a gaming license as required by his new position on the casino side did Thomas M. Reddy’s actions become known.
What is it with all-weather tracks not living up to expectations? Granted, the technology is still in its infancy with much to be learned, but what an expensive learning curve! Hollywood went through some costly refurbishing last year with its Cushion Track, while Santa Anita completely overhauled its Cushion Track, replacing it with Pro-Ride last summer for in excess of $15 million. Now word from Australia that Geelong’s ThoroughTrack all-weather racetrack has been totally dug up for drainage work just 19 months after opening. First completed at a cost of $3.7 million ($1.785 contributed by the state government of Victoria), no price-tag has been placed on the current overhaul, but Racing Victoria Ltd. is quick to note “the work has nothing to do with a recent RVL study prompted by a higher rate of horse injuries on synthetic tracks than on normal grass tracks.” However, there will be no new installation of synthetic tracks in Victoria for at least two years.
How did we ever survive in a world without cell phones? This is a serious pet-peeve for me because, while I own one (and have totally given up a land-line phone at home), cell phones in the classroom (or workplace) are not just annoying, but completely rude. Is it really necessary to text message someone instead of listening and participating in classroom discussion? Well, I’ve become a hard-ass about it, but even I was surprised to read that Racing Victoria fines its jockeys $200 ($300 for a repeat offender) for possessing a cell phone in the jockeys’ room. No Twittering for them!
What’s the big deal with Henrythenavigator getting top mares? I understand the anecdotal success of milers at stud, but a horse that ran only 11 times (at 2 and 3) and is also far too inbred to Northern Dancer and Raise a Native already? He’s successfully impregnated Vertigineux, dam of Zenyatta and Balance, but according to TrueNicks the resulting foal only rates a “D,” not a particularly strong mating. Another one soon to visit Henrythenavigator is new mother Rags to Riches. Okay, this is a better cross (“A” TrueNicks), with horses bred on this cross including Lemon Drop Kid, Boboman and Cosmonaut, but I’d still like to see her bred to Curlin (also an “A” TrueNicks) or how about Street Cry (only a “C+”) which would be a complete outcross (no inbreeding through five generations).
Finally, how the hell does one of the winningest U.S. trainers—who has earned over $83 million in his relatively-short career, and over $1.3 million thus far this year—file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy? According to Bloodhorse (who Lake called “classless” in publishing this information): “The largest 20 unsecured creditors filed with the petition are listed with a combined $1,177,479 in claims, including those with a feed company and veterinary groups, among others.” Without mentioning what’s fundamentally wrong with a trainer like Scott Lake, let’s just say it’s beyond shitty that those who got shafted here are those in the trades.
What is it with all-weather tracks not living up to expectations? Granted, the technology is still in its infancy with much to be learned, but what an expensive learning curve! Hollywood went through some costly refurbishing last year with its Cushion Track, while Santa Anita completely overhauled its Cushion Track, replacing it with Pro-Ride last summer for in excess of $15 million. Now word from Australia that Geelong’s ThoroughTrack all-weather racetrack has been totally dug up for drainage work just 19 months after opening. First completed at a cost of $3.7 million ($1.785 contributed by the state government of Victoria), no price-tag has been placed on the current overhaul, but Racing Victoria Ltd. is quick to note “the work has nothing to do with a recent RVL study prompted by a higher rate of horse injuries on synthetic tracks than on normal grass tracks.” However, there will be no new installation of synthetic tracks in Victoria for at least two years.
How did we ever survive in a world without cell phones? This is a serious pet-peeve for me because, while I own one (and have totally given up a land-line phone at home), cell phones in the classroom (or workplace) are not just annoying, but completely rude. Is it really necessary to text message someone instead of listening and participating in classroom discussion? Well, I’ve become a hard-ass about it, but even I was surprised to read that Racing Victoria fines its jockeys $200 ($300 for a repeat offender) for possessing a cell phone in the jockeys’ room. No Twittering for them!
What’s the big deal with Henrythenavigator getting top mares? I understand the anecdotal success of milers at stud, but a horse that ran only 11 times (at 2 and 3) and is also far too inbred to Northern Dancer and Raise a Native already? He’s successfully impregnated Vertigineux, dam of Zenyatta and Balance, but according to TrueNicks the resulting foal only rates a “D,” not a particularly strong mating. Another one soon to visit Henrythenavigator is new mother Rags to Riches. Okay, this is a better cross (“A” TrueNicks), with horses bred on this cross including Lemon Drop Kid, Boboman and Cosmonaut, but I’d still like to see her bred to Curlin (also an “A” TrueNicks) or how about Street Cry (only a “C+”) which would be a complete outcross (no inbreeding through five generations).
Finally, how the hell does one of the winningest U.S. trainers—who has earned over $83 million in his relatively-short career, and over $1.3 million thus far this year—file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy? According to Bloodhorse (who Lake called “classless” in publishing this information): “The largest 20 unsecured creditors filed with the petition are listed with a combined $1,177,479 in claims, including those with a feed company and veterinary groups, among others.” Without mentioning what’s fundamentally wrong with a trainer like Scott Lake, let’s just say it’s beyond shitty that those who got shafted here are those in the trades.
Kentucky Oaks News and Preps
Did those who put together the Kentucky Oaks futures pool actually consult the owners and trainers of fillies they ultimately chose? I wonder because, as I mentioned before, it seems highly unlikely that Elusive Heat is destined for the Oaks. In fact, she is even by-passing Saturday's G3 Cicada because: "We had some issues and we had to take her out of the race," [trainer Kiaran] McLaughlin said. "We've got to get her sound and figure her out." Again, nothing about her training, performances or breeding indicate she was Oaks-bound.
Additionally, an article in Bloodhorse on Friday made clear that, as I speculated, Dream Empress’ ultimate goal will be the grassy Epsom Oaks in England: “She has never trained well on dirt,” said [her trainer Ken] McPeek.
So, this news was posted on Friday and wagering began on Thursday—anyone drop some cool non-refundable bucks on Dream Empress? What a damn waste!
Friday also brought news that ESPN has dropped live coverage of the Oaks this year:
"ESPN still has a great commitment to horse racing," said ESPN spokesman Mark Mandel. "We're going to re-evaluate next year. We have an emphasis this year on Saturday's programming versus a week-day afternoon. So that played into it here."
Please, don't insult our intelligence—ESPN’s commitment to horse racing is virtually nil, and soon to be non-existent. And, frankly, I’m sick and tired of being concerned about stuff like this (let me indulge my cynical negativity for a moment) because so many of the sports’ entities are just so incredibly inept and lacking in vision, it’s a wonder that horse racing survives at all. And yet it does—and I love it still.
As a Twinspires’ subscriber, I will enjoy watching the race online, but for those who wish can enjoy it on Bravo—the channel best known for such feminine-oriented fare as “Project Runway,” “America’s Next Top Model,” “The Millionaire Matchmaker,” “The Rachel Zoe Project,” “Tabatha’s Salon Takeover,” “Top Chef,” and “The Real Housewives of Orange County.” Words can not express how truly offensive it is to marginalize the Kentucky Oaks as a “chick” race so I’ll refrain from saying more, for now.
For those interested in this weekend’s Oaks preps, the G3 Honeybee at Oaklawn on Sunday features three fillies on the futures list: Larry Jones-trainee Just Jenda, Tim Richey’s Delaware-based Bon Jovi Girl (a half-sister to recent G1 Kilroe Mile victor Gio Ponti), and lightly-raced Be Fair (a half-sister to G2 Jim Dandy winner Macho Again). However, I was really impressed with Afleet Deceit’s effort last out, a distant second to Rachel Alexandra in the Martha Washington, but coming in off just a maiden victory.
In the G3 Florida Oaks on Saturday, we’ll see the Mineshaft filly Rock Candy who is undefeated in three Tampa Bay races this year, but finished only a neck ahead of Ameribelle and Don’t Forget Gil in her last effort, the Suncoast. Both foes return here, with new jocks—Eibar Coa and Rajiv Maragh, respectively. Red-hot Thomas Albertrani sends out Darley’s Royal Ballade in her first outing since failing horribly in last October’s G1 Frizette. While her breeding appears more turf favoring—her dam Musical Chimes won the G1 Poule d’Essai des Pouliches (French One Thousand Guineas), as well as the G1 John C. Mabee this side of the Atlantic—Musical Chimes is also a half-sister to multiple-G1 dirt victress (Mother Goose, CCAO, and Gazelle) Music Note so, with Alan Garcia up, Royal Ballade could stamp herself a major KY Oaks contender with a strong performance here.
Also on Saturday is the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks with sure-to-be odds-on favorite Rachel Alexandra—the only questions appear to be how badly will she decimate this field, and will her final time once again be quicker than the 3-year-old boys running three races later in the G2 Louisiana Derby? Others in the race include Four Gifts (her dam Agiftfromservice is a full-sister to the very talented G1 Spinaway winner Cashiers Dream) and Our Dahlia, who appears bred more for grass racing—her third dam is Hall of Fame turfster Dahlia who regularly defeated males at the G1-level, and produced four G1-winners herself (Rivlia, Dahar, Dahlia’s Dreamer, and Delegant). In fact, Our Dahlia’s last out victory was on turf, although she’s done well enough on dirt in the past. Still, this clearly looks like Rachel Alexandra’s race to lose.
Additionally, an article in Bloodhorse on Friday made clear that, as I speculated, Dream Empress’ ultimate goal will be the grassy Epsom Oaks in England: “She has never trained well on dirt,” said [her trainer Ken] McPeek.
So, this news was posted on Friday and wagering began on Thursday—anyone drop some cool non-refundable bucks on Dream Empress? What a damn waste!
Friday also brought news that ESPN has dropped live coverage of the Oaks this year:
"ESPN still has a great commitment to horse racing," said ESPN spokesman Mark Mandel. "We're going to re-evaluate next year. We have an emphasis this year on Saturday's programming versus a week-day afternoon. So that played into it here."
Please, don't insult our intelligence—ESPN’s commitment to horse racing is virtually nil, and soon to be non-existent. And, frankly, I’m sick and tired of being concerned about stuff like this (let me indulge my cynical negativity for a moment) because so many of the sports’ entities are just so incredibly inept and lacking in vision, it’s a wonder that horse racing survives at all. And yet it does—and I love it still.
As a Twinspires’ subscriber, I will enjoy watching the race online, but for those who wish can enjoy it on Bravo—the channel best known for such feminine-oriented fare as “Project Runway,” “America’s Next Top Model,” “The Millionaire Matchmaker,” “The Rachel Zoe Project,” “Tabatha’s Salon Takeover,” “Top Chef,” and “The Real Housewives of Orange County.” Words can not express how truly offensive it is to marginalize the Kentucky Oaks as a “chick” race so I’ll refrain from saying more, for now.
For those interested in this weekend’s Oaks preps, the G3 Honeybee at Oaklawn on Sunday features three fillies on the futures list: Larry Jones-trainee Just Jenda, Tim Richey’s Delaware-based Bon Jovi Girl (a half-sister to recent G1 Kilroe Mile victor Gio Ponti), and lightly-raced Be Fair (a half-sister to G2 Jim Dandy winner Macho Again). However, I was really impressed with Afleet Deceit’s effort last out, a distant second to Rachel Alexandra in the Martha Washington, but coming in off just a maiden victory.
In the G3 Florida Oaks on Saturday, we’ll see the Mineshaft filly Rock Candy who is undefeated in three Tampa Bay races this year, but finished only a neck ahead of Ameribelle and Don’t Forget Gil in her last effort, the Suncoast. Both foes return here, with new jocks—Eibar Coa and Rajiv Maragh, respectively. Red-hot Thomas Albertrani sends out Darley’s Royal Ballade in her first outing since failing horribly in last October’s G1 Frizette. While her breeding appears more turf favoring—her dam Musical Chimes won the G1 Poule d’Essai des Pouliches (French One Thousand Guineas), as well as the G1 John C. Mabee this side of the Atlantic—Musical Chimes is also a half-sister to multiple-G1 dirt victress (Mother Goose, CCAO, and Gazelle) Music Note so, with Alan Garcia up, Royal Ballade could stamp herself a major KY Oaks contender with a strong performance here.
Also on Saturday is the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks with sure-to-be odds-on favorite Rachel Alexandra—the only questions appear to be how badly will she decimate this field, and will her final time once again be quicker than the 3-year-old boys running three races later in the G2 Louisiana Derby? Others in the race include Four Gifts (her dam Agiftfromservice is a full-sister to the very talented G1 Spinaway winner Cashiers Dream) and Our Dahlia, who appears bred more for grass racing—her third dam is Hall of Fame turfster Dahlia who regularly defeated males at the G1-level, and produced four G1-winners herself (Rivlia, Dahar, Dahlia’s Dreamer, and Delegant). In fact, Our Dahlia’s last out victory was on turf, although she’s done well enough on dirt in the past. Still, this clearly looks like Rachel Alexandra’s race to lose.
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Kentucky Oaks Future Wager Pool
The Brisnet past performances are out for the first and only Kentucky Oaks future wager pool, but unfortunately I can’t provide a direct link to it here, so you’ll have to go to Bob Baffert’s site and look under the listings for Thursday, March 12, when betting begins; it ends on Sunday at 6:30 p.m.
Those fillies included in the futures' pool are:
1. Be Fair
2. Bon Jovi Girl
3. Devotee
4. Dream Empress
5. Elusive Heat
6. Empressive Lady
7. Fitz Just Right
8. Four Gifts
9. Frolic’s Dream
10. Haka
11. Just Jenda
12. Justwhistledixie
13. Laragh
14. Nan
15. Our Dahlia
16. Persistently
17. Rachel Alexandra
18. Renda
19. Rock Candy
20. Sky Diva
21. Stardom Bound
22. Third Dawn
23. What A Pear
24. All Others
Not surprisingly, Stardom Bound is listed at 5-1, with Rachel Alexandra not far behind at 6-1. However, tied with the mutual field at 10-1 for third choice is Elusive Heat. To be honest, I’m shocked! Don’t get me wrong—I love her! However, any daughter of champion sprinter Xtra Heat and sprinter/miler Elusive Quality is not going to get 10f—PERIOD! I’m not certain Kiaran McLaughlin is even considering the Oaks. She’s nominated for this weekend’s G3 Cicada (6f) at Aqueduct, and there’s no indication from her workouts they are attempting to stretch her out. Seriously, that would be a wasted wager, IMHO.
Others on the list to approach with caution: Dream Empress who appears destined for a turf/artificial surface career. Both her wins last year were either on turf (Saratoga) or Polytrack (Keeneland) before her second-place finish behind Stardom Bound on the Pro-Ride. On Churchill’s dirt track, she finished a very distant fourth in the G2 Golden Rod in late November; her first race this year will be the grassy G3 Herecomesthebride on March 15. I like Nan on turf and artificial surfaces, but her two previous attempts at real dirt where extremely disappointing; I hold out little hope of improvement on those past experiences (although I love her pedigree—a direct tailine female descendent of Gallorette). Frolic’s Dream is another one who looks to be a sprinter by breeding (by Smoke Glacken) and by performance—she was decimated in the G2 Davona Dale going 8f; her early speed just can’t carry beyond 7f.
Beyond the obvious Stardom Bound and Rachel Alexandra, who looks good for the Oaks?
Godolphin’s Devotee impressively won the UAE Oaks in Dubai over the Oaks’ 10f distance. Yes, she’s also a daughter of Elusive Quality, but her damsire is Sunday Silence, and her dam Danuta is a half-sister to the impressive filly Folk (by Quiet American).
Sky Diva may have just one prep before the Oaks, but she crushed the G1 Frizette at Belmont last October off a mere maiden victory (albeit by 10 lengths over only three rivals on a sloppy Delaware track). In her third lifetime race she finished third to Stardom Bound in the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, and then proceeded to fail quite miserably in the G2 Demoiselle. I’m willing to forgive her that, as she’s been working well since mid-February for her first 2009 start. Interestingly, her dam Swift Girl (Unbridled) is a half-sister to Pure Clan (Pure Prize) who finished third in last year’s Oaks (behind Proud Spell and Little Belle), so it could be a family thing.
For a sentimental selection, you could do worse than pick Joe Parker-trained What A Pear, of whom Teresa over at Brooklyn Backstretch has written previously. She hails from a strong damside family, as her third dam Best In Show produced (among others) G1 Kentucky Oaks winner Blush With Pride—dam of Better Than Honour (dam of G1 Kentucky Oaks winner Rags to Riches, in addition to Jazil and Casino Drive); Maryinsky (dam of G1 Irish Oaks winner Peeping Fawn); and Desert God, sire of the undefeated Pepper’s Pride. Wow! Talk about a family tradition. And, honestly, we need to see Channing Hill’s sparkling blue eyes in Louisville on Oaks day!
Those fillies included in the futures' pool are:
1. Be Fair
2. Bon Jovi Girl
3. Devotee
4. Dream Empress
5. Elusive Heat
6. Empressive Lady
7. Fitz Just Right
8. Four Gifts
9. Frolic’s Dream
10. Haka
11. Just Jenda
12. Justwhistledixie
13. Laragh
14. Nan
15. Our Dahlia
16. Persistently
17. Rachel Alexandra
18. Renda
19. Rock Candy
20. Sky Diva
21. Stardom Bound
22. Third Dawn
23. What A Pear
24. All Others
Not surprisingly, Stardom Bound is listed at 5-1, with Rachel Alexandra not far behind at 6-1. However, tied with the mutual field at 10-1 for third choice is Elusive Heat. To be honest, I’m shocked! Don’t get me wrong—I love her! However, any daughter of champion sprinter Xtra Heat and sprinter/miler Elusive Quality is not going to get 10f—PERIOD! I’m not certain Kiaran McLaughlin is even considering the Oaks. She’s nominated for this weekend’s G3 Cicada (6f) at Aqueduct, and there’s no indication from her workouts they are attempting to stretch her out. Seriously, that would be a wasted wager, IMHO.
Others on the list to approach with caution: Dream Empress who appears destined for a turf/artificial surface career. Both her wins last year were either on turf (Saratoga) or Polytrack (Keeneland) before her second-place finish behind Stardom Bound on the Pro-Ride. On Churchill’s dirt track, she finished a very distant fourth in the G2 Golden Rod in late November; her first race this year will be the grassy G3 Herecomesthebride on March 15. I like Nan on turf and artificial surfaces, but her two previous attempts at real dirt where extremely disappointing; I hold out little hope of improvement on those past experiences (although I love her pedigree—a direct tailine female descendent of Gallorette). Frolic’s Dream is another one who looks to be a sprinter by breeding (by Smoke Glacken) and by performance—she was decimated in the G2 Davona Dale going 8f; her early speed just can’t carry beyond 7f.
Beyond the obvious Stardom Bound and Rachel Alexandra, who looks good for the Oaks?
Godolphin’s Devotee impressively won the UAE Oaks in Dubai over the Oaks’ 10f distance. Yes, she’s also a daughter of Elusive Quality, but her damsire is Sunday Silence, and her dam Danuta is a half-sister to the impressive filly Folk (by Quiet American).
Sky Diva may have just one prep before the Oaks, but she crushed the G1 Frizette at Belmont last October off a mere maiden victory (albeit by 10 lengths over only three rivals on a sloppy Delaware track). In her third lifetime race she finished third to Stardom Bound in the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, and then proceeded to fail quite miserably in the G2 Demoiselle. I’m willing to forgive her that, as she’s been working well since mid-February for her first 2009 start. Interestingly, her dam Swift Girl (Unbridled) is a half-sister to Pure Clan (Pure Prize) who finished third in last year’s Oaks (behind Proud Spell and Little Belle), so it could be a family thing.
For a sentimental selection, you could do worse than pick Joe Parker-trained What A Pear, of whom Teresa over at Brooklyn Backstretch has written previously. She hails from a strong damside family, as her third dam Best In Show produced (among others) G1 Kentucky Oaks winner Blush With Pride—dam of Better Than Honour (dam of G1 Kentucky Oaks winner Rags to Riches, in addition to Jazil and Casino Drive); Maryinsky (dam of G1 Irish Oaks winner Peeping Fawn); and Desert God, sire of the undefeated Pepper’s Pride. Wow! Talk about a family tradition. And, honestly, we need to see Channing Hill’s sparkling blue eyes in Louisville on Oaks day!
It’s a Girl!
Bloodhorse is reporting Rags to Riches birthed a Giant’s Causeway filly on Monday, March 9.
A future champion deserves a beautiful name, so just a reminder to her connections of the possible names we bloggers compiled for this little miss:
• Maeshowe
• Colossal Tale
• Road to Riches
• Mag Mell
Time to update our list now that her gender is established, so leave your suggestions in the comment section. To check if a name is available, here's the link to the Jockey Club registry. (I didn't include on the above list those names bloggers suggested but have already been assigned).
I'll add now: Irish Riches, Giant's Riches, Giant's Beauty, or Better Than Riches.
A future champion deserves a beautiful name, so just a reminder to her connections of the possible names we bloggers compiled for this little miss:
• Maeshowe
• Colossal Tale
• Road to Riches
• Mag Mell
Time to update our list now that her gender is established, so leave your suggestions in the comment section. To check if a name is available, here's the link to the Jockey Club registry. (I didn't include on the above list those names bloggers suggested but have already been assigned).
I'll add now: Irish Riches, Giant's Riches, Giant's Beauty, or Better Than Riches.
Perception and Expectation
I would be lying if I said I wasn’t surprised to see IEAH is talking about sending Stardom Bound to the G1 Ashland at Keeneland on April 4 rather than the G1 Santa Anita Derby. Of course, if the real question that needs answering before either the Kentucky Oaks or Derby is can she run on dirt, wouldn’t the March 29 $200,000 Sunland Oaks or, better yet, $800,000 Sunland Derby work better? Yes, both are ungraded, but graded earnings aren’t an issue. We already know she can run on artificial surfaces—time to move forward, don’t you think?
What does astonish me is the industry media completely buying into Iavarone’s version of what happened on Saturday: “She worked pretty hard today against the girls.” How simplistic and very dismissive! It sounds much more like a ready-made excuse rather than real evaluation. Where’s the criticism of Mike Smith’s ride, putting her in an extremely wide position coming around the final turn—even wider than usual for her? The acknowledgment that Third Dawn severely hampered Stardom Bound’s late run by swerving into her path? The fact that she could have “bounced” second off the layoff? Recognition that the fillies she ran against are perhaps finally catching up with her, and just because they are fillies doesn’t automatically mean they are worse than colts? Isn’t that the implication? They are just girls and if she can’t beat them what’s the use attempting to try against the boys?
Thus, we get DRF’s Jay Privman’s headline “Filly Gets Reality Check” (surely it’s her ownership that got the reality check?) and Bloodhorse’s Jack Shinar’s “Stardom Bound Barely Best in ‘Anita Oaks.” Yet, Myra Lewyn’s article in the Thoroughbred Times has the headline “Stardom Bound Wins Thrilling Oaks.” Talk about the differences in perception, undoubtedly tinged by expectation. Unrealistic expectations? Perhaps, but we won't know for certain until the attempt is made.
Alan at Left at the Gate makes his customary astute comment about how Derby fever unfortunately distracted from Stardom Bound’s accomplishment in media coverage. Alas, isn’t this also true of so many other Derby “contenders” who fall by the wayside only to never again recover in the hearts and minds of fans? To my way of thinking, what is particularly unjust about Stardom Bound's situation is the underlying, implied yet unstated bias behind the turn of her Derby fortunes.
Dana over at Green but Game has an excellent post about people twittering the issue, and notes the inevitable idiotic comment emerged: “Stardom Bound doing right thing staying w/ fillies. After Eight Belles, why would any owner consider taking the boys on? What’s the point?”
Indeed, are we still stuck in that mental rut? Do the names Rags to Riches, Zarkava, Goldikova, Vodka, Daiwa Scarlet, Riva San, Zarita, Tuesday Joy, Samantha Miss, Sun Classique and Ventura mean nothing?
How about Ruthless, Chris Evert, Gallorette, Bewitch, Black Helen, Lday’s Secret, Shuvee, Tosmah, Beldame, Serena’s Song, Personal Ensign, All Along, Urban Sea, Dahlia, Affectionately, Silver Spoon, Two Lea, Busher, and Top Flight?
The point is, regardless of gender, a horse is allowed to be challenged and excel to the best of its abilities. Whether or not Stardom Bound is permitted to demonstrate her gutsy talent on the greatest stage possible for a 3-year-old in North America is shaped by perception and expectation, both of which appear to have irreversibly shifted this past weekend onto an alternative trajectory. That’s a shame.
What does astonish me is the industry media completely buying into Iavarone’s version of what happened on Saturday: “She worked pretty hard today against the girls.” How simplistic and very dismissive! It sounds much more like a ready-made excuse rather than real evaluation. Where’s the criticism of Mike Smith’s ride, putting her in an extremely wide position coming around the final turn—even wider than usual for her? The acknowledgment that Third Dawn severely hampered Stardom Bound’s late run by swerving into her path? The fact that she could have “bounced” second off the layoff? Recognition that the fillies she ran against are perhaps finally catching up with her, and just because they are fillies doesn’t automatically mean they are worse than colts? Isn’t that the implication? They are just girls and if she can’t beat them what’s the use attempting to try against the boys?
Thus, we get DRF’s Jay Privman’s headline “Filly Gets Reality Check” (surely it’s her ownership that got the reality check?) and Bloodhorse’s Jack Shinar’s “Stardom Bound Barely Best in ‘Anita Oaks.” Yet, Myra Lewyn’s article in the Thoroughbred Times has the headline “Stardom Bound Wins Thrilling Oaks.” Talk about the differences in perception, undoubtedly tinged by expectation. Unrealistic expectations? Perhaps, but we won't know for certain until the attempt is made.
Alan at Left at the Gate makes his customary astute comment about how Derby fever unfortunately distracted from Stardom Bound’s accomplishment in media coverage. Alas, isn’t this also true of so many other Derby “contenders” who fall by the wayside only to never again recover in the hearts and minds of fans? To my way of thinking, what is particularly unjust about Stardom Bound's situation is the underlying, implied yet unstated bias behind the turn of her Derby fortunes.
Dana over at Green but Game has an excellent post about people twittering the issue, and notes the inevitable idiotic comment emerged: “Stardom Bound doing right thing staying w/ fillies. After Eight Belles, why would any owner consider taking the boys on? What’s the point?”
Indeed, are we still stuck in that mental rut? Do the names Rags to Riches, Zarkava, Goldikova, Vodka, Daiwa Scarlet, Riva San, Zarita, Tuesday Joy, Samantha Miss, Sun Classique and Ventura mean nothing?
How about Ruthless, Chris Evert, Gallorette, Bewitch, Black Helen, Lday’s Secret, Shuvee, Tosmah, Beldame, Serena’s Song, Personal Ensign, All Along, Urban Sea, Dahlia, Affectionately, Silver Spoon, Two Lea, Busher, and Top Flight?
The point is, regardless of gender, a horse is allowed to be challenged and excel to the best of its abilities. Whether or not Stardom Bound is permitted to demonstrate her gutsy talent on the greatest stage possible for a 3-year-old in North America is shaped by perception and expectation, both of which appear to have irreversibly shifted this past weekend onto an alternative trajectory. That’s a shame.
Sunday, March 8, 2009
Spring Ahead
Hope you didn’t forget to set your clocks ahead one hour before going to bed—sacrificing an hour of sleep for extra daylight is a painful exchange, but at least a major sign that winter is nearly over.
After his performance in the G3 Gotham, I Want Revenge will spring ahead and onto my Derby watch list. With his breeding and racing style, there’s little doubt he can get the distance. The big question, for me at least, was always about surface, and now we know he can run on real dirt. He finished ahead of Chocolate Candy in last December’s G1 CashCall Futurity—and just a nose behind Pioneerof the Nile. Does this mean the latter also rises in my estimation? Alas, no. However, I may reconsider that if Papa Clem performs well next weekend in the G2 Louisiana Derby.
The other one who impressed me in the Gotham was Imperial Council who was closing well late. Absolutely love his breeding, particularly the damsire being Thunder Gulch and—the pièce de résistance—his second damsire Risen Star. Today’s performance looked perfect for what it was—another step towards a greater goal for trainer Shug McGaughey. On to the G1 Wood Memorial!
Despite the diffident reaction to Stardom Bound’s narrow victory in the G1 Santa Anita Oaks (Bloodhorse.com declared “Stardom Bound Barely Best in ‘Anita Oaks”), I hope they continue on to the G1 Santa Anita Derby. The fact was, ugly or not, she ultimately got the job done, despite a below-par ride by Mike Smith. And while on paper the three fillies she only just beat looked overmatched, they weren’t that bad. Nan held the lead before giving way late to finish fourth, 2-1/2 lengths back of Stardom Bound, in the G1 Las Virgenes last out; she’s done nothing but improve since transferring to Craig Dollase late last year (and look at her pedigree—on her damside, she is a direct female tailine descendant of the magnificent race mare Gallorette). Hooh Why has not only improved under the tutelage of Carla Gaines, but she also has already finished a narrow head behind much-ballyhooed Kentucky Derby contender Patena in last December’s Display Stakes at Woodbine. The biggest surprise in the Oaks was Third Dawn who came in off a maiden win. Still, she had a tremendous bullet work coming into this race, her jockey Rafael Bejarano is potent (21% winners, 57% ITM) in routes and in the past 60 days has 40% winners (80% ITM) combined with trainer John Sadler, and her damside is also interesting, as her second dam Sunset Song is a full-sister to G3 Louisiana Derby winner and sire Dixieland Heat. Regardless of all these factors, Stardom Bound should have demolished this field, but considering the horrible position Smith put her in throughout and the extensive bumping and resulting interference in mid-stretch that affected her stride, it’s a miracle she won the photo.
Wasn’t Ventura gutsy in just getting nosed out by Gio Ponti in the G1 Kilroe Mile? One-turn miles may be her thing, but what a classy effort. However, Ramon Dominguez just couldn’t be denied vindication for losing the BC Juvenile Turf on Gio Ponti two years ago.
Last but by no means least, can we finally start talking about Einstein with the great respect he so aptly deserves? Already a multiple G1 winner on turf and G1-placed on real dirt, the 7-year-old son of 1985 Kentucky Derby winner Spend a Buck proved himself equally adept on Pro-Ride in convincingly winning the G1 Santa Anita Handicap. I just love this horse! Julien Leparoux looks like Alec Ramsey aboard The Black when riding him, and I’m just so pleased that Helen Pitts Blasi is enjoying training a talent like his. Still, it's almost like he's the Rodney Dangerfield of horses, never getting respect (thus, he paid $12.00 in winning the 'Cap).
After his performance in the G3 Gotham, I Want Revenge will spring ahead and onto my Derby watch list. With his breeding and racing style, there’s little doubt he can get the distance. The big question, for me at least, was always about surface, and now we know he can run on real dirt. He finished ahead of Chocolate Candy in last December’s G1 CashCall Futurity—and just a nose behind Pioneerof the Nile. Does this mean the latter also rises in my estimation? Alas, no. However, I may reconsider that if Papa Clem performs well next weekend in the G2 Louisiana Derby.
The other one who impressed me in the Gotham was Imperial Council who was closing well late. Absolutely love his breeding, particularly the damsire being Thunder Gulch and—the pièce de résistance—his second damsire Risen Star. Today’s performance looked perfect for what it was—another step towards a greater goal for trainer Shug McGaughey. On to the G1 Wood Memorial!
Despite the diffident reaction to Stardom Bound’s narrow victory in the G1 Santa Anita Oaks (Bloodhorse.com declared “Stardom Bound Barely Best in ‘Anita Oaks”), I hope they continue on to the G1 Santa Anita Derby. The fact was, ugly or not, she ultimately got the job done, despite a below-par ride by Mike Smith. And while on paper the three fillies she only just beat looked overmatched, they weren’t that bad. Nan held the lead before giving way late to finish fourth, 2-1/2 lengths back of Stardom Bound, in the G1 Las Virgenes last out; she’s done nothing but improve since transferring to Craig Dollase late last year (and look at her pedigree—on her damside, she is a direct female tailine descendant of the magnificent race mare Gallorette). Hooh Why has not only improved under the tutelage of Carla Gaines, but she also has already finished a narrow head behind much-ballyhooed Kentucky Derby contender Patena in last December’s Display Stakes at Woodbine. The biggest surprise in the Oaks was Third Dawn who came in off a maiden win. Still, she had a tremendous bullet work coming into this race, her jockey Rafael Bejarano is potent (21% winners, 57% ITM) in routes and in the past 60 days has 40% winners (80% ITM) combined with trainer John Sadler, and her damside is also interesting, as her second dam Sunset Song is a full-sister to G3 Louisiana Derby winner and sire Dixieland Heat. Regardless of all these factors, Stardom Bound should have demolished this field, but considering the horrible position Smith put her in throughout and the extensive bumping and resulting interference in mid-stretch that affected her stride, it’s a miracle she won the photo.
Wasn’t Ventura gutsy in just getting nosed out by Gio Ponti in the G1 Kilroe Mile? One-turn miles may be her thing, but what a classy effort. However, Ramon Dominguez just couldn’t be denied vindication for losing the BC Juvenile Turf on Gio Ponti two years ago.
Last but by no means least, can we finally start talking about Einstein with the great respect he so aptly deserves? Already a multiple G1 winner on turf and G1-placed on real dirt, the 7-year-old son of 1985 Kentucky Derby winner Spend a Buck proved himself equally adept on Pro-Ride in convincingly winning the G1 Santa Anita Handicap. I just love this horse! Julien Leparoux looks like Alec Ramsey aboard The Black when riding him, and I’m just so pleased that Helen Pitts Blasi is enjoying training a talent like his. Still, it's almost like he's the Rodney Dangerfield of horses, never getting respect (thus, he paid $12.00 in winning the 'Cap).
Saturday, March 7, 2009
Saturday Selections
At this moment, I’m undergoing a crisis of confidence when it comes to picking winners, so forgive my feeble attempts for today’s big races (that is, unless I’m right—then you must worship me for the handicapping goddess I am). Seriously, with the snow finally melted here, temperatures in the 60s, the sun peeking out, and the next week off for Spring Break, I’m feeling playful (dare I say frisky) so take all I say with good humor and a heaping bucket of salt.
How bad is it for me? I’m failing to follow my gut. For example, in the fourth at Aqueduct today I was immediately drawn to Sassification, not only for the name (I always tell my dog to stop sassing me, because she does), but also for those three little words—“first time Lasix.” It was a weak field of maiden claimers, so there was no real excuse for me to pass on her, but I did. Sassification went off at 49-1, and won going away, paying $100.50. Urgh! That’s the kind of betting luck I’m having right now.
So, let’s throw it all out there with today’s picks, which come from the gut.
In the G3 Gotham, the architectural historian in me loves Naos for his name, but I also love his sire Lion Heart. He comes in off a big win at the PHA, but had absolutely no luck in the Jimmy Winkfield here, so there’s no reason to think he can win this—other than Todd Pletcher, the rail post and his late kick. But there’s a lot of early speed here, with Haynesfield and Mr. Fantasy, and I’m intrigued by I Want Revenge and Axel Foley who shipped in from California to try real dirt for the first time, as well as Imperial Council who will attempt to route (his breeding certainly suggests that shouldn’t be a problem). Longshot flyer: the “other” Pletcher horse, Masala. A Lion Heart exacta?
In the G3 Toboggan, it’s hard to ignore the red-hot Driven By Success, and I believe the Rodney Dangerfield of American horse racing, Einstein, can transition to Pro-Ride and win the G1 Santa Anita Handicap (especially with Colonel John now scratched). Ventura’s my girl in the G1 Kilroe Mile, and down at Gulfstream in the G3 Honey Fox, Wild Promises looks a sure-thing, but I’ll take my chances with Flibberjibit. Say that three times.
How bad is it for me? I’m failing to follow my gut. For example, in the fourth at Aqueduct today I was immediately drawn to Sassification, not only for the name (I always tell my dog to stop sassing me, because she does), but also for those three little words—“first time Lasix.” It was a weak field of maiden claimers, so there was no real excuse for me to pass on her, but I did. Sassification went off at 49-1, and won going away, paying $100.50. Urgh! That’s the kind of betting luck I’m having right now.
So, let’s throw it all out there with today’s picks, which come from the gut.
In the G3 Gotham, the architectural historian in me loves Naos for his name, but I also love his sire Lion Heart. He comes in off a big win at the PHA, but had absolutely no luck in the Jimmy Winkfield here, so there’s no reason to think he can win this—other than Todd Pletcher, the rail post and his late kick. But there’s a lot of early speed here, with Haynesfield and Mr. Fantasy, and I’m intrigued by I Want Revenge and Axel Foley who shipped in from California to try real dirt for the first time, as well as Imperial Council who will attempt to route (his breeding certainly suggests that shouldn’t be a problem). Longshot flyer: the “other” Pletcher horse, Masala. A Lion Heart exacta?
In the G3 Toboggan, it’s hard to ignore the red-hot Driven By Success, and I believe the Rodney Dangerfield of American horse racing, Einstein, can transition to Pro-Ride and win the G1 Santa Anita Handicap (especially with Colonel John now scratched). Ventura’s my girl in the G1 Kilroe Mile, and down at Gulfstream in the G3 Honey Fox, Wild Promises looks a sure-thing, but I’ll take my chances with Flibberjibit. Say that three times.
Aussie Wrap-Up for Saturday
An absolutely amazing day of racing in Australia yesterday, as numerous graded and listed races featured at Randwick and Flemington, with full fields. Honestly, why can American tracks put on more days like these, which are the dreams of both horseplayers and fans alike? Among the highlights:
• Jockey Craig Newitt winning the G1 Australian Guineas on Heart of Dreams, just days before his 24th birthday and funeral for his father. Very touching.
• Trainer Gai Waterhouse’s excellent mare Tuesday Joy toyed with and then easily put away a quality field (featuring, among others, the most recent Melbourne Cup winner) to win the G1 Chipping Norton. Next on her agenda? March 28’s G1 Dubai Duty Free.
• Little filly extraordinaire Romneya (close relation to Friesan Fire) was just nosed out by her stablemate Portillo in the G2 Surround, a race that featured 23 runners.
• 5-year-old mare Hot Danish carried 135 lbs—giving away 16-18 lbs to her 9 rivals who included G1-placed and G2 winning mares—and won going away in the Wiggle Quality. She’s now won 10 of 14 races.
Topping it all, though, was the overall performances put in by the progeny and descendents of Scenic, grandson of Foolish Pleasure. His son Scenic Blast won the G1 Newmarket (6f), and will next travel abroad to challenge the Royal Ascot carnival in June. Through his daughters, Scenic also enjoyed victories by Niconero in the G1 Australian Cup (10f) and Kirvinsky in the listed Security Stakes (5.5f), and a narrow second-place finish by Von Costa de Hero in the G1 Australian Guineas (8f). Combined with son Coniston Bluebird’s victory in the G1 New Zealand Derby earlier in the week, the now-deceased Scenic (2005) is undergoing a renaissance in Australia, having sired champion sprinters and routers, as his son Viewed won the 2-mile Melbourne Cup last November. (Superfecta has an excellent post about the unique situation and drama surrounding Coniston Bluebird's win, as well as comment about Scenic)
• Jockey Craig Newitt winning the G1 Australian Guineas on Heart of Dreams, just days before his 24th birthday and funeral for his father. Very touching.
• Trainer Gai Waterhouse’s excellent mare Tuesday Joy toyed with and then easily put away a quality field (featuring, among others, the most recent Melbourne Cup winner) to win the G1 Chipping Norton. Next on her agenda? March 28’s G1 Dubai Duty Free.
• Little filly extraordinaire Romneya (close relation to Friesan Fire) was just nosed out by her stablemate Portillo in the G2 Surround, a race that featured 23 runners.
• 5-year-old mare Hot Danish carried 135 lbs—giving away 16-18 lbs to her 9 rivals who included G1-placed and G2 winning mares—and won going away in the Wiggle Quality. She’s now won 10 of 14 races.
Topping it all, though, was the overall performances put in by the progeny and descendents of Scenic, grandson of Foolish Pleasure. His son Scenic Blast won the G1 Newmarket (6f), and will next travel abroad to challenge the Royal Ascot carnival in June. Through his daughters, Scenic also enjoyed victories by Niconero in the G1 Australian Cup (10f) and Kirvinsky in the listed Security Stakes (5.5f), and a narrow second-place finish by Von Costa de Hero in the G1 Australian Guineas (8f). Combined with son Coniston Bluebird’s victory in the G1 New Zealand Derby earlier in the week, the now-deceased Scenic (2005) is undergoing a renaissance in Australia, having sired champion sprinters and routers, as his son Viewed won the 2-mile Melbourne Cup last November. (Superfecta has an excellent post about the unique situation and drama surrounding Coniston Bluebird's win, as well as comment about Scenic)
Friday, March 6, 2009
When Free Isn’t Free, or One More Nail in Racing’s Coffin
A rant is on the agenda this morning. For well over a year, I have taken the time to wade through every trainer’s and racing’s stable’s website that provides free Brisnet past performances, and post links to stakes races on my blog and on the TBA homepage. About six months ago, Patrick over at Handride developed a search engine that did the same thing, yet much more efficiently, and the TBA homepage has carried it since.
What did we, individually or as a group, gain from this endeavor? Nothing more than the satisfaction of giving people easier access to information already freely available on the internet. There was no financial gain either on our behalf or anyone else. Yet, Brisnet has developed a way to block us from providing those links which are still readily available if you go directly to the stables’ websites and wade through them yourselves.
Why? In a time when handle is falling like a rock, much like the stock market and the economy as a whole, why not allow bettors the easiest possible access to information that is—let me repeat—is already free. It is on the web. How are the stables posting the information harmed? They are providing for clients information about their own horses, and they have decided to pay whatever fee Brisnet chooses to allow for open retrieval. It’s no skin off their nose if we bloggers post the links.
Obviously the issue comes down to one word: greed. Brisnet doesn’t want you to have this information for free, despite that fact that is already out there. They want you to pay through the nose for past performances, regardless of the “big picture” that suggests that people increasingly won’t as economic conditions continue to deteriorate, and fewer and fewer people are interested in horse racing. Rather than believe allowing free access to the limited (and it is limited) number of free past performances just might demonstrate to potential new customers how valuable their product is, they would rather continue to set up barriers.
How myopic.
What did we, individually or as a group, gain from this endeavor? Nothing more than the satisfaction of giving people easier access to information already freely available on the internet. There was no financial gain either on our behalf or anyone else. Yet, Brisnet has developed a way to block us from providing those links which are still readily available if you go directly to the stables’ websites and wade through them yourselves.
Why? In a time when handle is falling like a rock, much like the stock market and the economy as a whole, why not allow bettors the easiest possible access to information that is—let me repeat—is already free. It is on the web. How are the stables posting the information harmed? They are providing for clients information about their own horses, and they have decided to pay whatever fee Brisnet chooses to allow for open retrieval. It’s no skin off their nose if we bloggers post the links.
Obviously the issue comes down to one word: greed. Brisnet doesn’t want you to have this information for free, despite that fact that is already out there. They want you to pay through the nose for past performances, regardless of the “big picture” that suggests that people increasingly won’t as economic conditions continue to deteriorate, and fewer and fewer people are interested in horse racing. Rather than believe allowing free access to the limited (and it is limited) number of free past performances just might demonstrate to potential new customers how valuable their product is, they would rather continue to set up barriers.
How myopic.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Another Xtra Special Filly?
A highlight at today’s Fasig-Tipton Calder Selected Two-Year-Olds in Training sale will undoubtedly be Xtra Heat’s 2-year-old gray daughter by Unbridled’s Song, Don’t U Baby Me (Hip #64). Below is a video of her work under tack:
Considering she’s produced three stakes-placed winners in three tries, Xtra Heat looks to be off to a fine start as a broodmare. She also has a yearling by Songandaprayer, and is due this year to Street Cry.
As friend of this blog Laurie Asseo and I have been bemoaning to one another, it was exceedingly disappointing not to see Xtra Heat’s name among this year’s three finalists for the Hall of Fame. While Open Mind, Silverbulletday and Sky Beauty are certainly worthy candidates, to my way of thinking Xtra Heat has several advantages over them—she ran in nearly twice as many races (35) and won 26 of those—all but one (her maiden) were stakes races, and a record 11 of them were graded stakes. She finished out of the money only twice in her life: her only route attempt (2000 BC Juvenile Fillies) and the 2002 BC Sprint against males. On four other occasions she tested herself against male competition, finishing 1/2 length in second behind Squirtle Squirt in 2001 BC Sprint, third in both the 2001 G1 DeFrancis Memorial Dash and 2002 Dubai Golden Shaheen, and winning the G3 Phoenix BC by three lengths over Day Trader. I’ve argued these points before, so I won’t rehash my entire passionate argument. Let’s just hope this extraordinary sprinter isn’t overlooked next year.
Based upon her recent effort, it appears her daughter Elusive Heat could be very tough in the 3-year-old filly sprint races this year. Last heard, Kiaran McLaughlin was aiming her for the G3 Cicada. Here's her Gulfstream allowance win on January 29:
Considering she’s produced three stakes-placed winners in three tries, Xtra Heat looks to be off to a fine start as a broodmare. She also has a yearling by Songandaprayer, and is due this year to Street Cry.
As friend of this blog Laurie Asseo and I have been bemoaning to one another, it was exceedingly disappointing not to see Xtra Heat’s name among this year’s three finalists for the Hall of Fame. While Open Mind, Silverbulletday and Sky Beauty are certainly worthy candidates, to my way of thinking Xtra Heat has several advantages over them—she ran in nearly twice as many races (35) and won 26 of those—all but one (her maiden) were stakes races, and a record 11 of them were graded stakes. She finished out of the money only twice in her life: her only route attempt (2000 BC Juvenile Fillies) and the 2002 BC Sprint against males. On four other occasions she tested herself against male competition, finishing 1/2 length in second behind Squirtle Squirt in 2001 BC Sprint, third in both the 2001 G1 DeFrancis Memorial Dash and 2002 Dubai Golden Shaheen, and winning the G3 Phoenix BC by three lengths over Day Trader. I’ve argued these points before, so I won’t rehash my entire passionate argument. Let’s just hope this extraordinary sprinter isn’t overlooked next year.
Based upon her recent effort, it appears her daughter Elusive Heat could be very tough in the 3-year-old filly sprint races this year. Last heard, Kiaran McLaughlin was aiming her for the G3 Cicada. Here's her Gulfstream allowance win on January 29:
Monday, March 2, 2009
Sallie Gardner: The Horse Behind the Photograph
In every major survey of Western art history book, you will find an image of Eadweard Muybridge’s classic ground-breaking photograph “Horse Galloping.” The story behind the photo is legend: former California governor and race horse owner/breeder Leland Stanford commissioned the English-born Muybridge to take a series of photographs to prove that when a horse runs, all four of its hooves are off the ground. This hypothesis could not be proven with the naked eye, so in June 1878, Muybridge set up a series of cameras on a race track at Palo Alto, with silken wires across the track which, when broken across the running horse’s chest, would trigger each camera’s shutter. Whether or not Stanford actually won a $25,000 bet on the issue has never been proven, but an assumption became fact that day, and Muybridge advanced a technology that eventually led to the development of motion pictures.
I’ve taught this image for years, but it never occurred to me to explore further exactly who Sallie Gardner was. What I discovered was fascinating, to say the least.
Bred in Tennessee by Arthur Towles, the chestnut daughter of Vandal was foaled in 1872, out of Charlotte Thompson by the Irish import sire Mickey Free. Her record as a racehorse is sketchy at best, but according to the 1875 American Racing Record and Turf Guide, she was among the 27 nominees for a race to be held by the Louisville Jockey Club on May 19 over 12f—the very first running of the Kentucky Oaks, with a prize of $1,175. While Sallie Gardner did not end up running in the Oaks, another daughter of Vandal, Vinaigrette, was victorious that momentous day.
It doesn’t appear that Sallie Gardner raced prior to September 1875. During the Louisville Fall meeting, running for Oliver Towles (her breeder’s son?), she failed to place in the September 23 Woodburn Stakes over 1-3/4 miles, finishing fourth, but two days later the filly came in third in two 8f heats, a consolation purse race for beaten horses. In Nashville on October 4, she finished out of the money in the two 8f heats of the Linck’s Hotel Stake. However, just four days later Sallie Gardner won a race for beaten 3-year-olds over 6f, carrying a mere 87 lbs!
Shipping to Gallatin, Texas where the Albion Jockey Club hosted a meeting, the 3-year-old filly won the two 8f heats that comprised the Granger Stakes on October 13. Just two days later, she won the $150 Jockey Club purse race at 12f, and amazingly, on the very next day (October 16) won three straight 8f heats in a $200 Jockey Club purse race. Thus, in just four days, Sallie Gardner ran—and won—six races totally 52 furlongs, or 6-1/2 miles!
Of her subsequent racing record I could find no more information, nor did I discover how Sallie Gardner ended up owned by Leland Stanford. However, it was in 1876 that Stanford had purchased 650 acres and began the Palo Alto Stock Farm, a booming enterprise that eventually spanned 11,000 acres. According to Stanford's chief trainer Charles Marvin, it was common for Stanford to raid the best of Eastern thoroughbred race mares.
Sallie Gardner’s first recorded offspring for Stanford was a bay filly born in 1879 named Eleanor, the result of a cross-breeding with Stanford’s prized trotting stallion Electioneer, son of the great Hambletonian, whom he had purchased in 1876. Apparently, this was a typical experiment carried out by the breeder—breeding stamina-rich thoroughbred mares with trotters—and according to Joseph Cairn Simpson:
“Knowing that when Governor Stanford commenced breeding thoroughbred mares to his trotting stallions he was mainly looking to obtain half-bred mares to place in stud, I was not surprised to find that a majority of the colts were gelded and then sold, and that the fillies were placed in the breeding paddocks.”
Thus, Eleanor was bred to the trotter Nephew, producing a brown trotting mare in 1889 named Elden who birthed the trotting mare Eleata (1898) by Dexter Prince. While by no means a complete list, the harness racing descendents of Sallie Gardner through her daughter Eleanor including 1950s pacer Meadow Ace (by Adios), late 1970s-early 1980s California-bred pacer—and winner of over $770k—Courageous Red (by Peter Lobell) and 2000s champion filly pacer Midnight Jewel (by Keystone Raider).
Sallie Gardner’s second mate was another trotting sire, Mohawk Chief, but that brown colt of 1880 was gelded and died before being named. After being barren in 1881, the mare was bred to thoroughbred stallion Shannon, with whom she produced a bay colt named Garland (1882) and another bay colt (1888) named Homer, a talented racehorse who won the 1891 Iroquois Stakes at Saratoga. She was also bred three times to Flood, son of the undefeated Norfolk, producing a chestnut colt Gardey (1883), and two chestnut fillies, Sallie G (1884) and Amy Gardner (1886), the former to whom Leland Stanford continued mixed breeding with trotters Will Crocker (chestnut filly, 1888) and Liberty (unknown, 1889).
Thus, when she died on May 6, 1888, Sallie Gardner was much more than a horse made immortal by photographer Eadweard Muybridge—she was a talented race mare who produced both winning standardbreds and thoroughbreds.
Sources:
Sanders Dewees Bruce, The American Stud Book (New York, 1889) Vol. 4, pp. 442-443.
W. G. Dorling, The American Racing Record and Turf Guide for 1875 (New York: 1876)
Charles Marvin, Training the Trotting Horse, Fourth Edition (Franklin, PA: Marvin Publishing Company, 1893)
Joseph Cairn Simpson “Trotting Bred Mares Lead” Wallace’s Monthly, Vol. XVIII, no. 3 (May 1892) pp. 185-191
Wallace’s Year-Book of Trotting and Pacing in 1892, by the American Trotting Register Association, vol. VIII-Part II, second edition Chicago: 1893
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